Special Situations

Restructuring 2026: Why companies need to act before liquidity becomes the problem

Restructuring does not begin with insolvency. It begins when earnings quality, liquidity and stakeholder confidence come under pressure – while there is still enough room to shape options.

Restructuring does not begin with insolvency. It begins when earnings quality, liquidity and stakeholder confidence come under pressure – while there is still enough room to shape options.

Crises are often recognised too late

According to Germany's Federal Statistical Office, 10,546 corporate insolvency applications were recorded from January to May 2026, 4.9% more than in the same period of the previous year. Yet insolvency statistics only describe the end of a development. Economic problems usually start much earlier.

A crisis typically begins with weaker profitability, missed budgets, deferred investment or deteriorating working capital. If action starts only when overdraft facilities are exhausted or suppliers increase pressure, a significant part of the company's room for manoeuvre has already been lost.

Early warning indicators rarely appear in isolation

One poor month does not create a restructuring case. The situation becomes critical when several indicators combine and reinforce each other:

The key is the integrated view. When earnings pressure, cash absorption and stakeholder scepticism occur simultaneously, traditional cost management is often no longer sufficient.

Liquidity has to become an operational management metric

In stressed situations, reliable short-term cash planning is essential. A rolling 13-week cash forecast creates transparency on expected inflows and outflows and on which decisions can create near-term impact.

It does not replace the profit and loss account or a long-term business plan. It answers a different and crucial question: how much time is available for execution?

Cash management must also become operational. Collections, payment terms, inventory, advance payments, project billing and non-core cash commitments need active management. In a restructuring, working capital is not merely a finance topic – it is a management task.

Earnings improvement requires prioritisation, not long initiative lists

Restructuring programmes often lose impact because they become extensive catalogues of measures. Priorities should instead be set by earnings impact, cash effect and feasibility. Some initiatives need to stabilise immediately; others need to rebuild structural profitability.

Measures may include pricing and commercial terms, product and customer portfolio decisions, capacity adjustment, procurement, site or organisational questions, and the termination of structurally unattractive projects. Their financial effect should be visible monthly rather than only at year-end.

Stakeholder communication should not start when cash runs out

Banks, shareholders, credit insurers and key suppliers assess more than financial statements. They also assess whether management understands the situation and is steering it credibly. Early and consistent communication can preserve financing flexibility that may no longer exist after a late escalation.

Communication and the action plan have to tell the same story. Optimistic forecasts without credible delivery usually damage trust more than an early and clearly addressed problem.

Financing is part of the solution – not the solution itself

Additional liquidity can buy time, but it does not repair a structurally unprofitable business model. Shareholder funding, banking solutions, sale-and-lease-back, factoring or asset disposals only make sense if the operating causes of the crisis are addressed in parallel.

The earlier a restructuring begins, the larger the option set: standalone stabilisation, refinancing, strategic partnership, equity capital, partial disposal or, where required, an M&A solution. Time is therefore an asset in its own right.

Conclusion

The decisive phase of a restructuring often comes before the acute liquidity crisis. By connecting earnings deterioration, cash absorption and stakeholder risks early, management can turn a crisis response back into an entrepreneurial steering task. The objective is not only to protect liquidity, but to preserve strategic choice.

More about Restructuring and Special Situations at VALTORA

Market context: German Federal Statistical Office, corporate insolvencies January to May 2026, published 14 August 2026.

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